AI Impacts

AI Timeline Surveys

2015-01-10 19

We know of thirteen surveys on the predicted timing of human-level AI. If we collapse a few slightly different meanings of ‘human-level AI’, then before adding the most recent survey (2016 ESPAI, results pending): Median estimates for when there will be ...
2016 Expert Survey on Progress in AI

2016-12-14 8
Kruel AI Interviews

2014-12-29 2
Müller and Bostrom AI Progress Poll

2014-12-29 2
Concrete AI tasks for forecasting

2016-12-14 2

Transmitting fibers in the brain: Total length and distribution of lengths

2018-03-29 1

The human brain’s approximately 86 billion neurons are probably connected by something like 850,000 km of axons and dendrites. Of this total, roughly 80% is short-range, local connections (averaging 680 microns in length), and approximately ...
Human-level hardware timeline

2017-12-22 0
Global computing capacity

2016-02-16 5
Costs of human-level hardware

2015-07-26 4
Brain performance in FLOPS

2015-07-26 5

Neuron firing rates in humans

2015-04-14 8

Our best guess is that an average neuron in the human brain transmits a spike about 0.1-2 times per second. Support Bias from neurons with sparse activity When researchers measure neural activity, they can fail to see neurons which rarely fire ...
Costs of human-level hardware

2015-07-26 4
Scale of the Human Brain

2015-04-16 3
Metabolic Estimates of Rate of Cortical Firing

2015-04-10 1
Glial Signaling

2015-04-16 1

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