AI Impacts

Historic trends in transatlantic passenger travel

The speed of human travel across the Atlantic Ocean has seen at least seven discontinuities of more than ten years’ progress at past rates, two of which represented more than one hundred years’ progress at

Robin Hanson on the futurist focus on AI

By Asya Bergal, 13 November 2019 Robert Long and I recently talked to Robin Hanson—GMU economist, prolific blogger, and longtime thinker on the future of AI—about the amount of futurist effort going into thinking about

Conversation with Robin Hanson

AI Impacts talked to economist Robin Hanson about his views on AI risk and timelines. With his permission, we have posted and transcribed this interview. Contents ParticipantsSummaryAudioTranscript Participants Robin Hanson — Associate Professor of Economics,

Etzioni 2016 survey

Oren Etzioni surveyed 193 AAAI fellows in 2016 and found that 67% of them expected that ‘we will achieve Superintelligence’ someday, but in more than 25 years. Details Oren Etzioni, CEO of the Allen Institute

Rohin Shah on reasons for AI optimism

By Asya Bergal, 31 October 2019 I along with several AI Impacts researchers recently talked to Rohin Shah about why he is relatively optimistic about AI systems being developed safely. Rohin Shah is a 5th

Conversation with Rohin Shah

AI Impacts talked to AI safety researcher Rohin Shah about his views on AI risk. With his permission, we have transcribed this interview. Contents ParticipantsSummaryTranscript Participants Rohin Shah — PhD student at the Center for

The unexpected difficulty of comparing AlphaStar to humans

By Rick Korzekwa, 17 September 2019 Artificial intelligence defeated a pair of professional Starcraft II players for the first time in December 2018. Although this was generally regarded as an impressive achievement, it quickly became

Conversation with Paul Christiano

AI Impacts talked to AI safety researcher Paul Christiano about his views on AI risk. With his permission, we have transcribed this interview. Contents ParticipantsSummary Transcript Participants Paul Christiano — OpenAI safety team Asya Bergal

Paul Christiano on the safety of future AI systems

By Asya Bergal, 11 September 2019 As part of our AI optimism project, we talked to Paul Christiano about why he is relatively hopeful about the arrival of advanced AI going well. Paul Christiano works

Soft takeoff can still lead to decisive strategic advantage

By Daniel Kokotajlo, 11 September 2019 Crossposted from the AI Alignment Forum. May contain more technical jargon than usual. [Epistemic status: Argument by analogy to historical cases. Best case scenario it’s just one argument among many.