By Asya Bergal, 11 September 2019 As part of our AI optimism project, we talked to Paul Christiano about why he is relatively hopeful about the arrival of advanced AI going well. Paul Christiano works
This is a list of published arguments that we know of that current methods in artificial intelligence will not lead to human-level AI. Details Clarifications We take ‘current methods’ to mean techniques for engineering artificial
Land speed records did not see any greater-than-10-year discontinuities relative to linear progress across all records. Considered as several distinct linear trends it saw discontinuities of 12, 13, 25, and 13 years, the first two
AI Impacts’ discontinuous progress investigation was conducted according to methodology outlined on this page. Details Contributions to the discontinuous progress investigation were made over at least 2015-2019, by a number of different people, and methods