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HomeAuthorsHarlan Stewart

Articles by Harlan Stewart

Blog

Scoring forecasts from the 2016 “Expert Survey on Progress in AI”

Patrick Levermore, 1 March 2023 Summary This document looks at the predictions made by AI experts in The 2016 Expert Survey on Progress in AI, analyses the predictions on ‘Narrow tasks’, and gives a Brier score to

Blog

How popular is ChatGPT? Part 1: more popular than Taylor Swift

What does search volume tell us about public attention on ChatGPT and AI in general?

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  • How bad a future do ML researchers expect?
  • How popular is ChatGPT? Part 2: slower growth than Pokémon GO
  • Scoring forecasts from the 2016 “Expert Survey on Progress in AI”
  • How popular is ChatGPT? Part 1: more popular than Taylor Swift
  • The public supports regulating AI for safety
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