Jesse Galef – AI Impacts

AI Timeline Surveys

Published 10 January 2015 This page is incomplete, under active work and may be updated soon. We know of twelve surveys on the predicted timing of human-level AI. If we collapse a few slightly different meanings of ‘human-level AI’, then:
Trends in the cost of computing
What do ML researchers think about AI in 2022?
Predictions of Human-Level AI Timelines
Neuron firing rates in humans

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AI Impacts