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Home2019February

Month: February 2019

Blog

Primates vs birds: Is one brain architecture better than the other?

2019-02-28 1

The boring answer to that question is, “Yes, birds.” But that’s only because birds can pack more neurons into a walnut-sized brain than a monkey with a brain four times that size. So let’s forget …

Image credit: By J. Arthur Thomson - http://www.gutenberg.org/files/17786/17786-h/17786-h.htm, Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=9943793
AI Timelines

Investigation into the relationship between neuron count and intelligence across differing cortical architectures

2019-02-11 1

Survey participants (n = 83) were given anonymized descriptions of behavior in the wild for four animals: one bird species and one primate species with a similar neuron count, and one bird species and one …

Blog

Evidence on good forecasting practices from the Good Judgment Project: an accompanying blog post

2019-02-07 2

Figure 0: The “four main determinants of forecasting accuracy.” Experience and data from the Good Judgment Project (GJP) provide important evidence about how to make accurate predictions. For a concise summary of the evidence and …

Featured Articles

Evidence on good forecasting practices from the Good Judgment Project

2019-02-07 2

According to experience and data from the Good Judgment Project, the following are associated with successful forecasting, in rough decreasing order of combined importance and confidence: Past performance in the same broad domain Making more …

Popular pages

  • 2016 Expert Survey on Progress in AI
    2016-12-14 15
  • Predictions of Human-Level AI Timelines
    2015-06-05 12
  • Likelihood of discontinuous progress around the development of AGI
    2018-02-23 12
  • Brain performance in FLOPS
    2015-07-26 11
  • Global computing capacity
    2016-02-16 11
  • Funding of AI Research
    2017-02-20 7
  • Concrete AI tasks for forecasting
    2016-12-14 6

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  • Primates vs birds: Is one brain architecture better than the other?
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