All pages and blog posts – Page 3 – AI Impacts

December 2022 updates and fundraising

What we’ve been up to and funding we think we could use well

Against a General Factor of Doom

If you ask people a bunch of specific doomy questions, and their answers are suspiciously correlated, they might be expressing their p(Doom) for each question instead of answering the questions individually. Using a general factor of doom is unlikely to be an accurate depiction of reality. The future is likely to be surprisingly doomy in some ways and surprisingly tractable in others.

Notes on an Experiment with Markets

AI Impacts decided to try using Manifold Markets to help us plan social events in the evenings of our work retreat. Here are some notes from that experiment.

Counterarguments to the basic AI x-risk case

Sixteen weaknesses in the classic argument for AI risk.

A check written to Charles Lindbergh for winning the Orteig Prize

Outcomes of inducement prizes

This is a dataset of prizes we could find for incentivizing progress toward a specific technical or intellectual goal.

Will Superhuman AI be created?

Superhuman AI appears to be very likely to be created at some point.

List of sources arguing against existential risk from AI

A bibliography of pieces arguing against the idea that advanced AI poses an existential risk to humanity.

List of sources arguing for existential risk from AI

A bibliography of pieces arguing that advanced AI poses an existential risk to humanity.

Incentives to create AI systems known to pose extinction risks

Economic incentives to deploy AI systems seem unlikely to be reliably eliminated by knowledge that those AI systems pose an existential risk.

What do ML researchers think about AI in 2022?

Katja Grace Aug 4 2022

First findings from the new 2022 Expert Survey on Progress in AI.

MH Magazine Wordpress Theme by MH Themes.