All pages and blog posts

18 or so reasons to reflexively dismiss slowing down AI and why I think they fail and leave it worth thinking seriously about.

What we’ve been up to and funding we think we could use well

If you ask people a bunch of specific doomy questions, and their answers are suspiciously correlated, they might be expressing their p(Doom) for each question instead of answering the questions individually. Using a general factor of doom is unlikely to be an accurate depiction of reality. The future is likely to be surprisingly doomy in some ways and surprisingly tractable in others.

AI Impacts decided to try using Manifold Markets to help us plan social events in the evenings of our work retreat. Here are some notes from that experiment.

Sixteen weaknesses in the classic argument for AI risk.