AI Impacts

Will Superhuman AI be created?

Superhuman AI appears to be very likely to be created at some point.

List of sources arguing against existential risk from AI

A bibliography of pieces arguing against the idea that advanced AI poses an existential risk to humanity.

List of sources arguing for existential risk from AI

A bibliography of pieces arguing that advanced AI poses an existential risk to humanity.

Incentives to create AI systems known to pose extinction risks

Economic incentives to deploy AI systems seem unlikely to be reliably eliminated by knowledge that those AI systems pose an existential risk.

What do ML researchers think about AI in 2022?

Katja Grace Aug 4 2022

First findings from the new 2022 Expert Survey on Progress in AI.

2022 Expert Survey on Progress in AI

Collected data and analysis from a large survey of machine learning researchers.

Why work at AI Impacts?

Katja Grace Mar 2022

My grounds for spending my time on this: a hand-wavy account.

Observed patterns around major technological advancements

by Rick Korzekwa, 2 February, 2022 Summary In this post I outline apparent regularities in how major new technological capabilities and methods come about. I have not rigorously checked to see how broadly they hold,

Do neural networks learn human concepts?

This page is a stub. It does not necessarily represent much of what is known on the topic. Our understanding is that the degree to which neural networks learn concepts that are potentially understandable to

AI Vignettes Project

An ongoing effort to write concrete plausible future histories of AI development and its social impacts.