2015 – AI Impacts

Recently at AI Impacts

By Katja Grace, 24 November 2015 We’ve been working on a few longer term projects lately, so here’s an update in the absence of regular page additions. New researchers Stephanie Zolayvar and John Salvatier have recently joined us,

Glossary of AI Risk Terminology and common AI terms

Terms A AI timeline An expectation about how much time will lapse before important AI events, especially the advent of human-level AI or a similar milestone. The term can also refer to the actual periods of time (which are not

AI timelines and strategies

AI Impacts sometimes invites guest posts from fellow thinkers on the future of AI. These are not intended to relate closely to our current research, nor to necessarily reflect our views. However we think they are worthy contributions to the discussion of AI forecasting and strategy. This

Introducing research bounties

By Katja Grace, 7 August 2015 Sometimes we like to experiment with novel research methods and formats. Today we are introducing ‘AI Impacts Research Bounties‘, in which you get money if you send us inputs to some of our research. To start, we

AI Impacts research bounties

We are offering rewards for several inputs to our research, described below. These offers have no specific deadline except where noted. We may modify them or take them down, but will give at least one week’s notice

Time flies when robots rule the earth

By Katja Grace, 28 July 2015 This week Robin Hanson is finishing off his much anticipated book, The Age of Em: Work, Love and Life When Robots Rule the Earth. He recently told me that it would be helpful to include

Costs of human-level hardware

Computing hardware which is equivalent to the brain – in terms of FLOPS probably costs between $1 x 105 and $3 x 1016, or $2/hour-$700bn/hour. in terms of TEPS probably costs $200M – $7B, or or $4,700 – $170,000/hour

Brain performance in FLOPS

The computing power needed to replicate the human brain’s relevant activities has been estimated by various authors, with answers ranging from 1012 to 1028 FLOPS. Details Notes We have not investigated the brain’s performance in FLOPS in

Index of articles about hardware

Hardware in terms of computing capacity (FLOPS and MIPS) Brain performance in FLOPS 2019 recent trends in GPU price per FLOPS Electrical efficiency of computing 2018 price of performance by Tensor Processing Units 2017 trend in

Cost of human-level information storage

It costs roughly $300-$3000 to buy enough storage space to store all information contained by a human brain. Support The human brain probably stores around 10-100TB of data. Data storage costs around $30/TB. Thus it costs roughly $300-$3000 to buy