AI Timelines

Index of articles about hardware

Contents Hardware in terms of computing capacity (FLOPS and MIPS)Hardware in terms of communication capacity (TEPS)Information storageOtherRelated blog posts Hardware in terms of computing capacity (FLOPS and MIPS) Brain performance in FLOPS 2019 recent trends in GPU price

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AI Timelines

Cost of human-level information storage

It costs roughly $300-$3000 to buy enough storage space to store all information contained by a human brain. Support The human brain probably stores around 10-100TB of data. Data storage costs around $30/TB. Thus it costs roughly $300-$3000 to buy

AI Timelines

Costs of information storage

Posted 23 July 2015 Cheap secondary memory appears to cost around $0.03/GB in 2015. In the long run the price has declined by an order of magnitude roughly every 4.6 years. However the rate has declined so much that prices haven’t substantially dropped since 2011 (in 2015).

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Event: Exercises in Economic Futurism

By Katja Grace, 15 July 2015 On Thursday July 30th Robin Hanson is visiting again, and this time we will be holding an informal workshop on how to usefully answer questions about the future, with an emphasis on economic approaches.

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Steve Potter on neuroscience and AI

By Katja Grace, 13 July 2015 Prof. Steve Potter works at the Laboratory of Neuroengineering in Atlanta, Georgia. I wrote to him after coming across his old article, ‘What can AI get from Neuroscience?’ I wanted to know how neuroscience might contribute to AI

AI Timelines

Conversation with Steve Potter

Posted 13 July 2015 Contents ParticipantsSummaryHow has neuroscience helped AI in the past?Subsumption architectureNeuromorphic engineeringHow is neuroscience contributing to AI today?How is neuroscience likely to help AI in the future?How long will it take to

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New funding for AI Impacts

By Katja Grace, 4 July 2015 AI Impacts has received two grants! We are grateful to the Future of Humanity Institute (FHI) for $8,700 to support work on the project until September 2015, and the Future of Life Institute (FLI)

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Update on all the AI predictions

By Katja Grace, 5 June 2015 For the last little while, we’ve been looking into a dataset of individual AI predictions, collected by MIRI a couple of years ago. We also previously gathered all the surveys about AI predictions that we

AI Timelines

Predictions of Human-Level AI Timelines

Note: This page is out of date. See an up-to-date version of this page on our wiki. Updated 5 June 2015 We know of around 1,300 public predictions of when human-level AI will arrive, of