Featured Articles

AI Vignettes Project

An ongoing effort to write concrete plausible future histories of AI development and its social impacts.

Featured Articles

Fiction relevant to AI futurism

A list of stories potentially relevant to thinking about the development of advanced AI, including both those intended as futurism and those intended as entertainment.

Featured Articles

Preliminary survey of prescient actions

In a short search, we did not find clear examples of ‘prescient actions’—specific efforts to address severe and complex problems decades ahead of time and in the absence of broader scientific concern, experience with analogous problems…

AI Timelines

2019 recent trends in GPU price per FLOPS

We estimate that in recent years, GPU prices have fallen at rates that would yield an order of magnitude over roughly: 17 years for single-precision FLOPS 10 years for half-precision FLOPS 5 years for half-precision